Voters are set to head to the polls on Monday in three federal by-elections with the trade war between Canada and the U.S. expected to be a key factor on many people’s minds.
Votes are taking place in British Columbia, Ontario and a third in Quebec following the resignations and departures of their MPs.
In B.C., the Liberals are hoping to hold on to North Vancouver-Capilano, which they’ve held since 2015. Most recently, it belonged to long-time MP and minister Jonathan Wilkinson who left to take on the role of Canada’s ambassador to the European Union.
Over the years, Wilkinson served as minister of Fisheries, Oceans and the Canadian Coast Guard, minister of Environment and Climate Change and, in his last role, as minister of Energy and Natural Resources. He was dropped from cabinet following the 2025 federal election.
Braeden Caley, Prime Minister Mark Carney’s former deputy chief of staff and a senior staff member of his election campaign, is returning to his home province to run for the party.
Stephen Curran, a commercial lawyer who ran against Wilkinson last year, is returning to run for the Conservatives. He has run attack ads on social media against Caley, challenging his connection to the community.
Carrying the orange banner for the NDP is Stephen Tweedale. He is a party staffer for the local MLA, but could face an uphill battle as a federal candidate as the party received only four per cent of the vote in 2025 when the NDP’s support collapsed across the country.
Shelley Luce, an environmental scientist from the North Shore community, is running for the Green Party.
A few provinces away in Ontario, Nate Erskine-Smith’s former seat in Beaches-East York is up for grabs.
First elected in 2015, Erskine-Smith was known as a Liberal who could be outspoken against some of his own government’s decisions. He held a ministerial post briefly in the waning days of Justin Trudeau’s leadership and was kept on by Carney going into the 2025 election. He then returned to backbenches when Carney named his post-election cabinet.
Get breaking National news
The former MP is now running for Toronto city council after a failed attempt to be the candidate for the provincial Liberals in an upcoming byelection. He had also intended to also run for Ontario Liberal leadership but dropped those plans after a nomination contest loss.
Erskine-Smith’s former constituency office manager, Tanveer Shahnawaz, is running for the Liberals. He’ll face off against Shannon Devine for the NDP, who came in third in the 2025 vote. Jim Sybros is running for the Conservatives and Bruce Livesey is running for the Greens.
The third riding to watch will be in Chicoutimi-Le Fjord, which became vacant after Carney named Conservative MP Richard Martel to the Senate.
Martel won in 2025 by a small margin, edging out candidates from both the Bloc Quebecois and the Liberals.
Daniel Gobeil, a dairy farmer and former president of a provincial dairy association, is holding the flag for the Liberals. Lawyer and teacher Regis Gaudreault is running for the Conservatives to try and keep the seat in the party’s hands. Caroline Dube, who served as director of the office of Bloc MP Mario Simard, is running for the Bloc. Nathe Perrone is running for the Greens and Raphael Emond is carrying the NDP banner.
Elections Canada issued a notice this weekend to remind people in the province that the by-election was for the federal riding as the province has a riding with the same name that will see a provincial election vote held Sept. 26.
The Saguenay region, where the riding is located, has been hit particularly hard by U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs. It’s a major producer of aluminum and forestry products, and home to a significant number of dairy farmers representing a sector that has become a target of the president due to Canada’s supply management system.
- Quebec election leaders’ debates approach as campaigns wrap up 3rd week
- Calgary councillor seeks provincial probe into closed-door meetings after document leak
- Mark Carney meets with ‘Forever Canadian’ campaigners in Banff
- Nova Scotia to expand protections for people affected by AI-generated intimate images
-
![]()
Majority of Canadians support Carney’s handling of trade war, polls show -
![]()
‘We need all of our allies on board’: US ambassador on Canada’s role in confronting terrorism -
![]()
‘Cyclists aren’t secondary’: Toronto riders protest Ford’s bike lane removal plan -
![]()
Trump suggests Canada-U.S. trade deal could happen ‘fairly soon’
But that same trade war could help the Liberals in all three ridings.
According to a new poll by Ipsos for Global News, 44 per cent of Canadians say they’d vote for the Liberals if an election were held tomorrow compared to 33 per cent for the Conservatives, 10 per cent for the NDP and eight per cent for the Bloc.
Those numbers were strongest in B.C. with 46 per cent saying they’d vote Liberal and 49 per cent saying the same in Ontario. The Liberals also were ahead in Quebec, with 37 per cent saying they’d vote for the governing party, but the numbers were closer with 33 per cent supporting the Bloc Quebecois. The Conservatives trailed in third in Quebec at 22 per cent.
For all three provinces where a by-election is being held, the polling also showed majority support for Canada standing firm against the U.S. proposed deal, even if it meant higher tariffs and economic costs. About 65 per cent of B.C. and Ontario residents said they agreed with the decision, with 57 per cent saying the same in Quebec.
Unlike the by-elections held in April, the stakes are not as high for the parties.
The Liberals won all three votes, giving them 174 seats in the House of Commons, a slim but working majority. With Erskine-Smith and Wilkinson’s resignations, along with former MP Stephen Guilbeault officially resigning this past Friday and Shaun Chen earlier this month, the Liberals currently hold 170 seats.
That number is two seats below the number needed for a majority, though with opposition parties at just 166 seats the government does not need other MPs to vote with them to pass bills or win confidence motions.
Winning all three ridings Monday, however, could further strengthen their majority to 173 seats.
There also remain four more by-elections Carney will need to call in the coming months following Chen and Guilbeault’s departures, as well as the resignations of two Bloc Quebecois MPs to run in next month’s provincial election.
Why are the federal by election ballot boxes marked Election Quebec ?
P.S. Look up “century initiative”. That made my blood run cold.
He probably posts on his breaks, or he has a cushy office job where he sits and does nothing for 5 hours of each shift.
Jay V,
I thought you were working 50-60 hours a week. Yet you still post on every article daily? No wonder my fries are always cold. Smarten up man!!
But but MAGA Karen-Lynne Findlay is supposed to be the next leader of BC 🤣🤣🤣
“Ironic Comedy
August 31, 2026 at 11:17 am
A VOTE for elbows up is a vote for further deterioration of this country”
What’s the matter? Too angry and stupid to find a job in Canada? That’s too bad
The Eradicator is correct. Our votes have no effect now, amd I have suspected for years that anyone running is actually carrying the same banner in secret. Different faces, same outcome. The liberal party will win and Canada will further deteriorate into a ghetto police state, and Black-rock will get their Century Initiative.
Nate Erskine-Smith, the former MP is now running for Toronto city council after a failed attempt to be the candidate for the provincial Liberals in an upcoming byelection. He had also intended to also run for Ontario Liberal leadership but dropped those plans after a nomination contest loss……Good luck!
A VOTE for elbows up is a vote for further deterioration of this country.
VOTING in Canada changes NOTHING.the ballet box and your vote are psychological pacifiers, they grant you the privilege of choosing which corporate owned sociopath gets to hold the whip for the next 4 years, Do you really want another criminal holding the whip??? No real social change has ever been brought about without a revolution!
@D Channon @1142 am. Clearly there is someone else posting who uses the name Ben. Maybe use timestamps to respond to that person.
I’ll bring my DOG and mess everyone’s day up, cause I know my people ain’t voting conservative in B.C. I blame immigration.
In Ben’s mind, if you don’t bootlick Carney like him you are MAGA/Anti Canadian and a traitor. Since when have the Liberals been the patriots of Canada?
It does not really matter who wins in this one party colony. The Liberals will just keep on bribing them for the majority, as they have done so far…
@ Ben- your comments are meaningless and do not bring anything to a comment section that people want to debate in.
This just shows how sad society has become as people want to make ridiculous meaningless comments just to be I guess somewhat funny while the Country falls apart due to poor governments whether they are federal, provincial and municipal.
I understand that this is free speech and it is one of the most important rights that we have so yes please keep your comments coming but realize that most people will put them in the area of chat bait, troll or just plan ridiculous.
As you see though most other comment the same as you. So sad that a society thinks this is the norm and can spew plain useless comments.
And in all honestly I get a good chuckle in how our society and degraded since the introduction of social media! It is the world we e have now and getting better with AI coming and all though nasty data centres that do nothing to improve the environment.
Cheers!
If you try to hold Carney accountable for his broken promises and lies you are a MAGA/Trump supporter and a traitor to Canada. No criticism about Carney is to be tolerated, just like Trudeau before him.
Breaking! Trump just renamed Canada to Clownada
@ Alberta separatist. Thanks for your comments.
If Alberta does vote to seperate do you know what currency would be used? What Medical system will be implemented? How will the property values change? Plus thousands of other questions.
Do you think a separated Alberta would be able to build any pipeline East or West without paying higher prices? There is a slim to none chance now that it will happen even with the vote buying MOU signed on paper! The premier wanted to sign that to keep her base happy and the Prime Minister signed to show just how much he wants to win votes in the west.
I do not have any American “GOO” as I do not care what they do because i do not vote in their elections.
Perhaps in 2 years or so things may change in the USA as they may vote for a different President or they may stay the course with the Republicans that voted for.
If you want to seperate go ahead and vote that way as it does not matter to me as that is your right and any one else that wants to. Will I vote that way? I may or may not but that is my decision and not any one else or some social media hype or as we call them now internet trolls.
Cheers and enjoy the day!
Love taking care of my flowers with my boyfriend
I dream of Justin Trudeau in a sleeping bag. So jealous of Katy Perry
Interestin thing. Akjdoslandjdlzmsndhdjz,29737319)1-3731.?”!#
My pickle is very small so that is why I go to Pride. Women need bigger
I’m Ben the brain dead liberal communist who alternates his personality every day. Love being controlled by corn hole Carney.
Mulroney, Harper etc. Yes everyone votes liberal in the east.
@Ben. Get of the high horse. You insult NDP voters who don’t like Trump, Carney, or even PP. If anyone doesn’t like Carney they are “MAGA” as per you or traitors to Canada. These are not binary choices.
@ben. Your just another commie Ndp libby voter.
Ben imagine calling everyone who disagrees with you a far right trump supporter. That makes you look like a blind liberal shill.
Imagine calling someone like me who votes Liberal or NDP stupid. This is what people say when they don’t have an arguement.
Broke back mountain, best movie ever and a true representation of Alberta
D Channon you must have lots of american goo, can you share please.
More american goo please
It appears that once again the right wing trolls are posting hate in the comments rather than going out and supporting a candidate and making an argument for their policy positions. I guess they have no chance on winning based on policy or the strength of their leader.
I wonder if the Quebecers will be fooled by Carney’s lies and propaganda?
Conservatives all the way, lets get this done.
Vote for stupid liberals, lose stupid jobs.
Clearly brain cells are in short supply in these ridings.
I hear about the restrictions /etc on USA products but nothing on the water that is pulled from BC rivers to supposedly California for nothing. It was a hot topic a few years ago has water no monetary value anymore? As BC and the prairies are in drought conditions I would think it is a major concern.
bc,ontario, quebec can facking ROT!
A Liberal “Patriot” thinks it is okay to change the Canadian flag with rainbow colours when it is convenient.
Canadians need to stop blaming the USA for all of our political mess. The USA can do what they want as we as Canadians did not vote for them. We need our governments to work for Canadians and fix the problems in our country and stop deflecting everything as outside foreign interference!
Canadian voters need to wake up to the reality and get away from blaming Trump or any other foreign leader.
Speeches and running to other Parliaments do not help our country in any way.
Please do the right thing and DON’T vote libera;
Sorry Liberals and Elbows Up Canadians don’t get to define what a Canadian patriot is.
Can’t imagine living out east with all the Elbows Up fools. Love Saskatchewan!
@ Ben signing and MOU is not listening to the west. That MOU is not worth the paper it was written on. It was just a way to have the undecided voter to lean to Liberals. Nothing but vote buying and those pipelines or anything other large project will not be built unless it only appeases Quebec, Ontario or Eastern Canada as our political system is built that way and will never change.
The Liberals just have to appease their he East and make a few in B.C. happy and that is all it takes to stay in power. Sask, Man and Alberta mean nothing to them?
Just make up some MOU’s to make it look like they are trying!
Considering financing for personal or business purposes? Contact now to learn more about available loan options, eligibility requirements, and how the application process works.
Telegram: MGetLoan
Email: EK89@protonmail.com
Contact for more information.
Funny. Carney and Liberals are saying Alberta should not have a referendum in October because of Trump, it is is okay from them to have by-elections. Total hypocrisy.
Hence why Carney walked away from a deal with the USA. He did it for his own political gain, not what is right for Canada. He manufactured an excuse that he was protecting Quebec’s “language and culture” when it wasn’t about that at all.
@Ben
Our system is corrupt trash to appease a Monarch. It sucks.
In an undemocratic summer election decided by our corrupt PM and Chief Electoral Officer.
@D Channon. The United States shows the gridlock that can happen when political institutions give regions/political interests more power. Our system works fine with the opposition able to voice concerns from the west. Clearly the Carney government is taking western concerns seriously, so the system is working.
It is so sad that 8 percent of Canadians would vote for a separatist party in the Bloc instead they should be voting for a national party that may actually try to get this once great country back together again and just maybe there would be a lot less talk of separation in the west.
We need to have a more balanced government that allows provinces west of Ontario a voice as the system we have now countries to divide our country and we will never been seen as a strong country we once were.
Also it would be nice to see the Prime Minister address our Parliament instead of taking another paid vacation to address a foreign Parliament! The great deal maker that makes none!