To what do you attribute your success — hard work or good fortune?

Every now and then, I get an email from a fellow writer who’s just starting out and wondering where to begin. “How did you do it?” they ask. “How did you make freelance writing your career?”

It’s flattering, but what do I say? First of all, I’m still working to reach my own writing goals, so I’m not even sure I’d be the best person to ask. But also, any success that I may have had as a freelancer has at least a little to do with luck. True, it’s mostly hard work, but auspicious timing and lucky breaks have also helped my career along the way.

For example, when I started writing for MSN, it wasn’t because I worked hard to get their attention and relentlessly pursued their editors. It was also because I had an enormously talented and kind friend who landed a job there, and she happened to be hiring freelancers right as I decided to leave my job to become a freelance writer.

I’m not saying I wouldn’t have gotten that gig had I not worked hard. But it also helped that I knew someone whose department was hiring at the right time. As important a role as hard work plays in success, it’s also important to acknowledge good fortune. Here’s why.

Self-attribution Bias

Disregarding the role of coincidence can make you believe a certain behavior is effective when it really isn’t — or worse, that behavior can actually work against you. Carl Richards of The Behavior Gap called it “lucky fool syndrome.”

“What sets off the lucky fool syndrome? Psychologists call it the self-attribution bias. It means we’re inclined to take all the credit for things going well, but we have no problem blaming outside forces when things go wrong. On top of our bias, we have a very difficult time separating skill from luck. As a result, we’re susceptible to the lucky fool syndrome and the problems that come with it.”

Investing is a perfect example. Richards cites a 2013 study, Self-Attribution Bias in Consumer Financial Decision-Making. In it, researchers studied the impact that investment returns had on how people perceived their own skills. When returns were good, subjects credited their awesome investing skills. When the market sucked, as it sometimes does, investors blamed it on bad luck.

This sounds harmless enough. What’s wrong with a little innocent self-delusion? The problem is, it can lead to costly mistakes.

Take my own example of self-attribution bias. When I decided to try my hand at active trading, I had huge returns within the first few months. I convinced myself I had a natural talent for it. (Embarrassingly, I believe I referred to myself as an investing genius, only in my head, of course.) I deluded myself into thinking that somehow I was able to accurately calculate the future, even though the most skilled and experienced investors can’t time the market.

So I repeated the “skills” I thought I possessed that helped me get those returns. The result? I lost $400 — more than half of my earnings. I should have cashed out when I got lucky. Instead, I learned the hard way that discounting the role of luck can come at a cost.

There is another problem with self-attribution bias. It limits our empathy and understanding. We think that, because one method or formula for success worked for us, that must be the magic formula for everyone. We think we have all the answers, so we stop considering any other possible problems or solutions. And sometimes we actually offer terrible insight. This article I wrote a year ago is like the case in point:

“I’ve found that it usually helps, when asking for something, to remind people that you’re human. When arguing for a raise, I reminded my boss that my financial situation was suffering due to inflation…”

I cringe reading my own words. Readers totally called me out on this, and rightfully so. This is the exact opposite of what most experts agree you should do. But because it happened to work for me, I figured, without giving it much additional thought, that it would work for everyone. Sure, my own good diligence helped me nab that raise, but I think it’s a good example of how self-attribution bias can limit your understanding.

Maybe It’s a Balancing Act

None of this is to say that hard work isn’t absolutely necessary. With most things, if you want to succeed, it takes a great deal of effort. Take my mom’s savings story. Despite being poor, she did whatever she could, sacrificing quite a bit just to save a few bucks a week. That’s the hard work.

But she acknowledges a few things out of her control actually worked in her favor: interest rates, overtime availability, and a part-time job opening. She told me:

“Not everyone sees overtime as lucky. Everybody gets lucky breaks, but it depends on you seeing it as a lucky break.”

Maybe the key to success is taking advantage of both — seizing those lucky breaks by being willing to do the work when they happen. Maybe it’s about recognizing the opportunities and taking advantage of them in the right way. Most of us aren’t lucky enough to make it on our good fortune alone. In fact, without effort, any luck that does come your way could easily be squandered. For example, if you are an over-spender, you might blow through a windfall. But if you’ve been working hard to get control of your finances, you may be more inclined to use that windfall to reach your financial goals.

Luck alone probably won’t get us far. But it seems that recognizing it can work in our favor. It helps us take advantage of those auspicious opportunities and, plus, it gives us a better understanding of our skills and exactly how our hard work pays off. It seems to me that understanding this balance is a little more realistic anyway.

Do you attribute your success to hard work or good fortune? Have you seen self-attribution bias backfire before? Have you changed how you view working hard versus being lucky ?

More about...Career, Psychology

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There are 34 comments to "To what do you attribute your success — hard work or good fortune?".

  1. Brian says 23 October 2014 at 05:13

    “To What Do You Attribute Your Success – Hard Work or Good Fortune?”

    Yes.

    I didn’t choose my parents. I didn’t choose my race or my gender or even my country of origin. I didn’t choose to be born with fully functioning mental and physical capabilities. All of those are things over which I had absolutely no control and yet every single one played a huge role in the course of my life.

    Through hard work I took advantage of, and even created some, opportunities and eventually set myself up to travel full-time at the age of 38. But without a significant amount of luck, all the hard work in the world wouldn’t have gotten me where I am today. And without hard work, I wouldn’t be here either.

  2. Beth says 23 October 2014 at 05:15

    I like how Kristin explored the balance between good fortune and hard work. I think success is both — with some faith and courage in the mix. You can be talented and a hard worker, but you can’t predict when an amazing opportunity will come along. (And opportunities are more likely to come along if you have a reputation as being talented and a hard worker) But without courage and faith in yourself, your loved ones, your spirituality/religious beliefs, you might not take that chance.

    An interesting point about the self-determination bias… I can’t count how many “how not to lose your job” type articles I’ve seen — the theme seems to be that if you work hard enough, you’ll be fine. (And if you lose your job, it’s your fault). I thinking the changing job market is removing some of that stigma, even if the media isn’t.

    I wonder if there’s a reverse to the self-determination bias? I notice with relationships people always say they’re “lucky” to have met their spouse or to have a partner, but when you’re single, it’s because you aren’t working hard enough to find “the one”, you’re too picky or some other fatal flaw.

  3. Alix says 23 October 2014 at 05:24

    This article reminds me of the Chinese ideogram for “luck” — it combines the symbols for “opportunity” and “preparation”.

    • Ms. Mintly @ MintlyBlog says 23 October 2014 at 06:43

      Thanks for sharing this – that is so cool (which is a word that truly does not do that concept justice)!

    • Cait says 24 October 2014 at 01:30

      Just wondering, which word for luck are you referring to? I can’t figure it out!

      • Stephen says 25 October 2014 at 11:06

        Been digging through the translations, too, and haven’t come across it. Would love to see the hanzi (ideograms) or pinyin (Latin-ized phonetic spellings) on this.

        I did find a quote attributed to Seneca that seems to express the thought succinctly (if not ideogram succinctly) … “Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.”

        Had heard that one before.

        There are some lovely, poetic words combining simple characters (radicals)–like the word for “good” emerging from a combination of “woman” and “child” …

        “Luck” coming from “preparation” and “opportunity” is almost too good to be true. =)

  4. Anne says 23 October 2014 at 05:45

    I think this is brilliant, and accurately portrays the difference in youth and experience. Generally, experience that is well assimilated teaches us the difference in what we worked our tushes off for and what fell into our laps, or was at least nudged in our direction.

    It’s one of the important life lessons. It also helps with a attitude of gratitude.

  5. Tricia says 23 October 2014 at 05:52

    The word “lucky” gets me a little worked up. I do think there is an element of luck in most things, but it isn’t everything. Like Brian said above, I didn’t choose my parents, my race, my gender. Yes, sometimes you’re in the right place at the right time. However, to reduce my good fortune to “luck” when I’ve worked hard, is insulting. For me to call it “bad luck” when I’ve screwed up is passing the buck. I seem to have a lot of people in my life that think everything is luck and wonder why luck isn’t raining down on them while they sit around, then minimize the hard work that other people put into their families, their careers, etc., as a lucky break.

  6. Emily @ Simple Cheap Mom says 23 October 2014 at 06:10

    I love hearing about people’s investing skills when the markets are working.

    I think it would be best if we could all recognize when we’re lucky and not squander our luck. But I think sometimes when something falls into your lap you can’t always appreciate it right away.

  7. Ms. Mintly @ MintlyBlog says 23 October 2014 at 06:49

    I wholeheartedly believe that luck without hard work will not result in lasting benefits. On the flip side, working hard when opportunities arise will be much more likely to change your life for the better. I wouldn’t be where I am today (able to switch careers in my 30s!) if I hadn’t had an amazing opportunity for a FREE master’s degree fall into my lap. But I could have decided to stay in my other career out of fear of change (the degree was supposed to enhance my work in my original field).

    This conversation also reminds me of a friend who worked really hard in high school. She graduated valedictorian and was accepted to an Ivy League school – she now has her doctorate, etc., etc. She overheard her dad proudly telling someone else, “My daughter is just SO smart!” and she was very hurt by the implication that she earned everything by the luck of the draw or good genes.

  8. Jennifer says 23 October 2014 at 06:52

    When luck comes knocking, it had better find you working.

  9. Michelle says 23 October 2014 at 07:25

    I love this article. I often also receive emails from others who are interested in freelancing online and working for themselves. Yes, I did have some luck, but I also worked very hard to get to where I am.

  10. Steve K says 23 October 2014 at 07:56

    Almost 68, I can look back over a lifetime and see many examples of success that were due to either hard work or good fortune or both.

    But what I haven’t seen discussed yet is that we need to cultivate the opportunity for luck. If we stay home all day watching TV, we won’t be networking, we won’t be seeing the tiny path in the woods that leads to the highway.

    I’m reminded of the old joke, where the poor Jew prays to God, asking to be rewarded for a lifetime of devotion, but nothing ever comes of it, he stays impoverished. “Why don’t you hear me, my Lord?” Finally God appears to him in all His glory and says, “Moishe, I want to help, but go buy a [lottery] ticket!”

    Luck is surely part of it. We have to help make it happen.

    • Tom says 23 October 2014 at 19:29

      Almost 60, I agree. I can’t tell you how many times folks I worked with told me why they couldn’t prepare or position themselves for success. I think you need three things – hard work, good luck, and the willingness to position yourself for success. Luck favors the prepared.

  11. William @ Drop Dead Money says 23 October 2014 at 08:01

    Excellent article! Self attribution bias is particularly prevalent in businesses and executives. The economy these days treats almost all businesses kindly, so they’re full of of self-congratulation (and fat bonuses).

    However, when the economy, which giveth today, taketh away tomorrow, they’re very fast to blame the economy for that.

    It gets worse: one of the biggest reason (all) people get into trouble with debt is in the good times they tell themselves (and their spouses) “hey look, we can easily make those payments,” when the reality is it’s the economy which makes things look better than they are now. Then, when the next recession comes, that fallacy gets exposed. By the way, when you do you think the next recession is due?

  12. Lis says 23 October 2014 at 08:13

    Nothing to do with freelancing, but a personal experience with luck and hard work.

    When I was in college, I had an internship at a tax accounting firm. I realized quickly that tax accounting was not what I wanted to do, but I still enjoyed the job and learned everything I could. I worked hard, always offering to take on more tasks that they were initially reluctant to give me.

    Fast forward a few years when I’m job hunting in the real world. I was interviewing for my current job, and while my phone interview went well, the agency that was trying to place me told me there were a handful of other applicants that were just as strong, if not stronger than me. I was sitting in the lobby for my in person interview, when out walks one of the accountants I had worked with. We stopped and chatted for a bit, and I told her I was interviewing for a position in the company. When the woman interviewing me came to get me, the accountant raved about me and told her they needed to hire me today.

    I ended up getting that job and am still happily working here today. Would I have gotten that job without the accountant’s recommendation? Maybe. I rocked the interview (though the good feeling of hearing an awesome recommendation right before definitely boosted my confidence). It was definitely lucky that the accountant now worked at the firm I was interviewing with, but the reason she recommended me was because I worked so damn hard. She could have said nothing at all, or worse, given me a poor recommendation, had I not been so hardworking. I think hard work is the foundation, where luck is the icing on the cake.

    • Mike in NH says 27 October 2014 at 07:19

      It’s attributed to several people but I have written down on my list of quotes, “Luck is where hard work meets opportunity.”

  13. Beard Better says 23 October 2014 at 08:48

    To a large extent, we really do need to consider the luck involved with winning the genetic, time, and location lotteries. It should not be taken as a given that one would be born without physical or mental disabilities, or that one would be born to loving parents who are invested in one’s life, born in the First World, born in a time and place of relative abundance so that it is possible to live without being a subsistence farmer, etc.

    Now, once that has been accounted for, there still remains the question of whether or not hard work or good fortune is more responsible for the success of modern, healthy people in the First World. Here I think it depends a lot on what can be considered “success”. Since I work in a technical field, I can say without reservation that hard work is the more important aspect if your goal is to find long-term success and make serious contributions to scientific or technological development. There’s no doubt that luck can play a role along the way, but there is just no way to produce good work in the long-term without hard work.

    The shorter the term over which you’re willing to still call it “success,” the more I think luck plays a role. Taking the author’s freelance writing job as an example, there’s no doubt that luck played an important role in the “success” of getting the job; however, there is no amount of luck that will keep someone employed if their work is not making money. Whether you’re talking about an athlete, a financial manager, a writer, or whatever. So, while luck may lead to the initial success of landing a job, at the end of the day there is almost no amount of networking or nepotism that will keep you in a job where you’re causing your boss to lose money.

  14. Louisa says 23 October 2014 at 08:56

    Both luck and work.
    Luck = born to parents who could afford to send me to college. Born in a country where white people, at least, had relatively few barriers.

    Work = I saw opportunities where others didn’t and pursued them. In your case, you had a good friend working at MSN, but the fact that you had a well-placed friend was not sheer accident.

    FYI, re your sentence, “I’m not saying I would’nt have gotten that gig had I not worked hard.”

    “Would’nt” should be “wouldn’t.”
    Part of being a successful freelancer is checking for errors and typos, imho

    • Linda Vergon says 23 October 2014 at 09:35

      Hi Louisa,

      I think I’ll make an appointment for new glasses because I didn’t see that either!

      Haha – Thanks for the catch!

      Linda Vergon, Editor 🙂

    • Carla says 23 October 2014 at 14:20

      I’m a “skimmer” when I read most blog posts so I missed that as well!

  15. Mike says 23 October 2014 at 09:08

    Luck–“success or failure apparently brought by chance rather than through one’s own actions”

    Very few people will have success by the definition of luck above. Even if you include being born in a developed country and if you desire to adjust for socio economic status or other demographics. You still have to take action 99% of the time to have some success, even if its minor.

  16. Sarah says 23 October 2014 at 09:52

    I definitely agree that it’s mostly hard work, but luck does come into play, too, as with anything. I got started in freelancing much like you – a friend worked for a company that was hiring freelancers. I then worked my way up to an editorial position that I love! Had I not known someone, I do not thing I would have been working for that company, but at the same time – I’ve been there over two years now and work for various other companies, which shows that hard work does pay off! Great read, thanks!!

  17. Carla says 23 October 2014 at 10:43

    I can’t say that I’m “successful” or have good fortune according to the GRS definition, but despite losing the lottery in so many ways, there’s a lot I can say I did acquire though both luck and hard work. Winning the genetic, racial, ethnic, skin color, nationality, gender, intelligence, parental, health and the physical attraction lottery doesn’t mean you’ll be successful in life and vise versa.

    I “lost” the lottery in some ways, especially parental and health (I won’t say gender, racial, etc because I like who I am) but there are some areas that I did win in that I plan on taking full advantage of.

    • Beth says 23 October 2014 at 15:22

      I love your outlook 🙂

  18. Delta says 23 October 2014 at 10:56

    I know someone who attributes everything to luck. Other people’s success always came through luck, especially. He doesn’t see that his contemporaries made better choices all along the line. They chose to study in school while he chose to party. They chose to go into careers with a future and to work their way up. He chose a whole series of entry level jobs and just coasted along. So now he’s pushing 60 and his friends and classmates are doing well financially (some have even managed to retire and do the things they’ve always wanted to do) and he’s miserably working yet another entry level job and telling his friends they don’t know how lucky they are.

    • mysticaltyger says 23 October 2014 at 11:47

      Although the details are different, I know someone else who’s pushing 60 in the same position with the same general attitude.

  19. NZ Muse says 23 October 2014 at 13:26

    Oh yes, the self attribution bias is huge.

    I credit ym success to a healthy dose of hard work and an equally healthy dose of good luck.

    My husband is struggling at the mo. Definitely a lot of bad luck, as well as on his own part, a lack of direction (and I have to frequently stop myself and pause that self attribution bias and remind myself that a lot of things that happpened in his career were beyond his control)

  20. Kayla @ Femme Frugality says 23 October 2014 at 13:55

    I’d like to say it’s all hard work, but in reality some of my “big breaks” in freelancing have been luck. Some of them have been hard work and paying attention to when it looks like people need help (and then contacting them to follow up), but the very beginning of it was luck!

  21. Marie says 24 October 2014 at 15:50

    If “luck” can also be referred to as “knowing someone” or “being in the right place at the right time”, then I can think of multiple professions that rely much more on luck than they do on work ethic. Most of those are the types of jobs that make you rich and/or famous. Standard middle-class jobs seem to swing more heavily towards work ethic, though luck is still in play.

  22. Investment Total says 24 October 2014 at 22:34

    In my own experience, I succeed most of the time because of hard work. Hard work pays off. But good fortune is also for all of us. Just we have to use the law of attraction.

  23. patrick says 25 October 2014 at 16:02

    I grew up in abject poverty and pushed myself to get to get away from home via the Army, go to college, then push with drive to get a pretty good paying career.

    There is the saying that luck is being ready when the opportunity presents itself. That must be what luck is. Opportunity (luck) is everywhere, if you pursue it and prepare for it.

    Part of luck is also meeting people and interacting and socializing, as hard as it is for many of us.

    You can make opportunity/luck. That is real luck.

    Then there is dumb luck, where things just seem to happen because we are in the right place at the right time. Part of fate, whatever that is.

    Many of us feel fortunate for what we have. We have more than others because we were able to break the cycle of poverty, which can be a trap that you do not know you are in.

    You make your luck, in a lot of cases. My greatest luck and success was finding meditation and inner peace and happiness.

  24. marjo says 29 October 2014 at 20:43

    Luck and hard work but even more important, is knowing people. So many young people do not know how to meet and engage in conversation with people of all ages. Its the many many connections in life that makes a difference –
    in finding employment, friends, life partners, etc. Get away from the cell phone screens and get to know people – care about them – listen to their dreams and success stories – and you will find a mentor or mentors who can
    help you fulfill your dreams and goals. And don’t discount anybody — the person you treat as invisible may just be the one person who can help you.

  25. ChinoF says 11 November 2014 at 07:06

    That’s the mistake people make – believing hard work and good fortune are mutually exclusive. They’re not. It’s an interplay of both that leads to success in life. This would require us to be alert in our lives to the opportunities related to this.

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